NEW SUPER TUESDAY POLL – AT 11:31 A.M.  ET:  Looks like Trump and Clinton on Tuesday, but Trump's numbers don't look especially great in the states polled, whereas Clinton's do.  From NBC News: 

Donald Trump is leading in the Super Tuesday states of Georgia and Tennessee, while Ted Cruz is ahead in his home state of Texas, according to a trio of new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.

And Hillary Clinton is topping Bernie Sanders in all three of those southern states by about a 2-to-1 margin.

In Georgia, Trump gets support from 30 percent of likely Republican voters — followed by Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio tied at 23 percent each, and Ben Carson and John Kasich tied at 9 percent each.

In Tennessee, Trump leads Cruz by 18 points, 40 percent to 22 percent, while Rubio gets 19 percent, Carson 9 percent and Kasich at 6 percent.

But in Texas, Cruz is ahead at 39 percent - followed by Trump at 26 percent, Rubio at 16 percent, Carson at 8 percent and Kasich at 6 percent.

In the Democratic race, meanwhile, Clinton leads Sanders in Georgia by 34 points among likely Democratic primary voters, 64 percent to 30 percent.  In Tennessee, Clinton is ahead by 26 points, 60 percent to 34 percent.  And in Texas, she's up by 21 points, 59 percent to 38 percent.

COMMENT:  Trump can only be happy about Tennessee, where he barely hits 40%.  Remember, he's the "frontrunner."  In Georgia the "frontrunner" is at 30%.  In Texas he's at 26%.  In other words, the argument that a solid majority of Republicans aren't for Trump holds up, at least in these states.  We'll see about the others.  I'm particularly interested in Virginia, which is becoming a national indicator.

On the Dem side, Hillary is cruising.  However, I wouldn't count Sanders out entirely.  Georgia, Tennessee and Texas have large minority populations.  Not all states do.  What is ironic is that Sanders has a long history of support for minority aspirations, whereas Clinton's record is less distinguished.  But in the fever swamps of Democratic politics, minorities, especially blacks, tend to vote the way their leaders say to vote, and Hillary is close to the leaders.

February 28,  2016